|
|
|
Please share your messages, questions, concerns, or ideas. >
Ty Le Nha Cai: Bi Kip
Ty Le Nha Cai: Bi Kip
Page:
1
Guest
Guest
Dec 12, 2025
1:44 AM
|
"Chao cac chien huu dam me ca cuoc!
Neu ban la mot nguoi thuong xuyen dat chan vao the gioi soi dong cua cac keo bong da, the thao hay casino truc tuyen, chac chan ban da qua quen thuoc voi thuat ngu ""ty le nha cai"" (odds). Day khong chi la nhung con so kho khan xuat hien tren bang keo; chung la linh hon, la ngon ngu bi mat ma cac nha cai dung de dinh gia xac suat cua mot su kien se xay ra.
1.2. Ba Dinh Dang Ty Le Pho Bien Nhat
Cac nha cai tren toan cau su dung ba dinh dang ty le chinh. Viec chuyen doi giua chung rat quan trong de ban co the dat cuoc tren cac nen tang quoc te khac nhau:
a. Ty Le Chau Au (Decimal Odds - Dang Thap Phan)
Day la dinh dang pho bien nhat tai Viet Nam va Chau Au. No the hien tong so tien ban se nhan lai tren moi don vi tien dat cuoc, bao gom ca tien goc.
Cong thuc: So tien thang = Tien cuoc x Ty le.
Vi du: Ty le 2.50. Neu ban cuoc 100,000 VND, ban se nhan lai 250,000 VND (loi 150,000 VND).
b. Ty Le Anh (Fractional Odds - Dang Phan So)
Thuong thay o Vuong quoc Anh, dinh dang nay the hien so tien thang cuoc so voi so tien dat cuoc ban dau.
Cong thuc: So tien thang = (Ty le tu so / Ty le mau so) x Tien cuoc.
Vi du: Ty le 3/1. Neu ban cuoc 100,000 VND, ban thang 300,000 VND (loi 300,000 VND).
c. Ty Le My (Moneyline Odds - Dang So Tien)
Pho bien tai Bac My, ty le nay dua tren viec thang 100 don vi tien te.
So duong (+): Chi ra so tien ban thang khi dat cuoc 100 don vi. Vi du: +200 nghia la ban thang 200 khi cuoc 100.
So am (-): Chi ra so tien ban can cuoc de thang 100 don vi. Vi du: -200 nghia la ban phai cuoc 200 de thang 100.
Meo nho: Neu ban quen voi keo Decimal, hay co gang quy doi nhanh chong. Vi du, keo My +200 tuong duong voi keo Decimal 3.00.
Phan 2: Giai Ma ""Bien Loi Nhuan"" (Vig/Overround) – Nha Cai Kiem Tien Tu Dau?
Day la phan quan trong nhat de hieu tai sao ty le nha cai khong bao gio phan anh xac suat thuc su 100%. Bien loi nhuan la ""thue"" ma nguoi choi phai tra cho nha cai.
2.1. Cach Tinh Bien Loi Nhuan
De xac dinh bien loi nhuan, chung ta can chuyen doi tat ca cac ket qua co the xay ra cua mot su kien (vi du: Thang, Thua, Hoa trong bong da) ve xac suat tuong ung dua tren ty le cuoc duoc cung cap.
Cong thuc tinh xac suat ngam: $P = 1 / \text{Ty le Decimal}$
Vi du trong tran dau co 3 ket qua (1X2):
Gia su ty le la:
Doi A thang (1): 2.00
Hoa (X): 3.50
Doi B thang (2): 4.00
Tinh xac suat ngam:
P(A thang) = 1 / 2.00 = 50.0%
P(Hoa) = 1 / 3.50 ? 28.57%
P(B thang) = 1 / 4.00 = 25.0%
Tong Xac Suat Ngam: $50.0\% + 28.57\% + 25.0\% = 103.57\%$
Con so 103.57% chinh la tong xac suat ma nha cai dang chao ban. Phan chenh lech (103.57% - 100%) la bien loi nhuan (Vig), tuc la 3.57%.
2.2. Tai Sao Bien Loi Nhuan Lai Quan Trong Voi Nguoi Choi?
Bien loi nhuan la ke thu tham lang cua moi nguoi choi ca cuoc. Neu ban lien tuc dat cuoc vao nhung ty le co bien loi nhuan cao (tuc la tong xac suat ngam vuot xa 100% mot cach khong can thiet), ve lau dai, ban chac chan se thua tien.
Nguyen tac vang: Nguoi choi thong thai luon tim kiem nhung nha cai co bien loi nhuan thap nhat cho cac loai keo minh yeu thich. Bien loi nhuan thap hon dong nghia voi ty le tra thuong thuc te cao hon cho nguoi choi.
Phan 3: Suc Manh Cua Viec So Sanh Ty Le Nha Cai (Odds Comparison)
Trong the gioi ca cuoc, viec tim kiem Odds tot nhat la nhiem vu song con. Ban co the co chien luoc du doan chinh xac 80% tran dau, nhung neu ban luon nhan muc cuoc thap hon 5% so voi thi truong, ban dang tu dao ho sau cho tai khoan cua minh.
3.1. Tai Sao Cac Nha Cai Lai Dua Ra Ty Le Khac Nhau?
Mac du tat ca deu dua tren xac suat co ban, ty le cuoc giua cac nha cai co the khac nhau do:
1. Phan tich Rui ro Noi bo: Mot so nha cai co doi ngu phan tich manh hon va tu tin hon voi du doan cua ho.
2. Luong tien do vao Thi truong: Neu mot nha cai nhan thay qua nhieu tien dang do vao Keo A, ho se ha ty le Keo A va nang ty le Keo B de can bang rui ro va giam thieu chi phi phai tra.
3. Chien luoc Marketing: Mot so trang web co the chap nhan bien loi nhuan thap hon (ty le cao hon) cho mot so tran dau nhat dinh de thu hut nguoi choi moi hoac giu chan khach hang than thiet.
3.2. Tam Quan Trong Cua Viec So Huu Nhieu Tai Khoan
Day la bi kip ma cac ""ca map"" ca cuoc luon ap dung: Khong bao gio dat cuoc tai mot nha cai duy nhat.
Hay tuong tuong ban co 3 lua chon cho mot tran dau bong ro:
Nha cai A: Ty le 1.90
Nha cai B: Ty le 1.93
Nha cai C: Ty le 1.95
Neu ban chi co tai khoan tai A, ban dang tu dong mat di khoan loi nhuan tiem nang 5 don vi cho moi 1000 don vi cuoc so voi viec dat cuoc tai C. Neu ban dat 10 trieu, viec chuyen tu 1.90 sang 1.95 giup ban nhan them 500,000 VND ma khong can phai du doan dung hon chut nao!
Loi khuyen thuc te: Hay mo tai khoan tai it nhat 3-5 nha cai uy tin khac nhau de luon co the chon muc cuoc tot nhat cho tung quyet dinh cua minh.
Phan 4: Dien Bien Ty Le – Theo Doi Bien Dong De Tim Co Hoi
Ty le nha cai khong phai la hang so; chung la nhung thuc the song, lien tuc thay doi cho den khi tran dau bat dau (hoac tham chi la trong khi tran dau dien ra – Keo Live). Theo doi su thay doi nay la mot ky nang nang cao.
4.1. Su Khac Biet Giua Odds Mo va Odds Dong
Odds Mo (Opening Odds): La ty le lan dau tien nha cai tung ra thi truong. No thuong phan anh phan tich ban dau cua ho va duoc thiet lap truoc khi co qua nhieu tien do vao.
Odds Dong (Closing Odds): La ty le cuoi cung ngay truoc khi tran dau bat dau. Day duoc coi la chi so gan nhat voi ""xac suat thuc te"" duoc thi truong chap nhan, vi no da hap thu tat ca thong tin va dong tien cua nguoi choi.
Ky thuat ""Choi Theo Dong Tien Thong Minh"":
Neu ty le mo cua doi A la 2.50, nhung truoc gio bong lan, no giam manh xuong 2.10 (nghia la xac suat ho thang duoc danh gia cao hon nhieu so voi ban dau), dieu nay bao hieu rang cac chuyen gia hoac nhung nguoi choi lon dang do tien vao doi A. Day co the la dau hieu cua thong tin noi bo hoac su danh gia sai lam ban dau cua nha cai.
4.2. Keo Sut Giam Dot Ngot (Steamrolling Odds)
Mot ty le dot ngot giam manh thuong xay ra khi:
ty le nha cai Luon so sanh ty le: Dung bao gio chap nhan muc cuoc dau tien ban thay.
Hieu ve Vig: Biet duoc ban dang mat bao nhieu phan tram cho nha cai trong moi keo cuoc.
Theo doi bien dong: Dong tien thong minh the hien qua su thay doi cua ty le.
Chuc cac ban luon tinh tao, tim duoc nhung keo co gia tri thuc su, va quan trong nhat la tan huong qua trinh ""giai ma"" nhung con so thu vi nay! Choi co trach nhiem va thanh cong!"
Xem thêm: https://tylenhacai7.com/html-sitemap/
|
Post a Message
|
|